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Diagnose a Pinterest CPA spike fast

The Pinterest CPA-spike sequence, attribution lag treated as a first-class suspect.

IntentWhy Pinterest CPA jumped: tag, lag, or auction.

2
Steps
2
Tools
1
Rules
1
Failure modes

When to use it

Use it when

  • CPA jumped beyond noise on meaningful spend.

Do not use it when

  • No specific contraindication beyond the preconditions below.

What it needs first

Preconditions

  • The account is ticked in the dashboard, confirmed via list_accounts.

Inputs

window
Analysis window.Default: last 30 days.

Procedure

In order. Every tool named is one the gateway ships, and links to its reference.

  1. Split spend vs conversions with a lag-trimmed window.

  2. Check conversion setup and tag recency.

Decision rules

The observable condition, what it lets you conclude, and what takes the conclusion back.

  • When

    The spike sits inside Pinterest's long attribution tail

    Conclude

    Probably lag, not cost: re-read in days, and say which day the verdict is due.

Evidence every conclusion must carry

  • Every figure carries its account, metric and window.
  • Anything below a readable sample size is reported as unjudged, not as zero.

Where the agent stops

  • The readout changes nothing. Any change it motivates goes through Safe Writes: preview, human confirmation, then apply.

How it goes wrong quietly

The cases where the analysis is wrong and still looks right. Read them before trusting a number.

  • Pinterest windows are long by design: judging this week's CPA this week is structurally premature.

What the answer contains

01Readout
The figures, with windows and accounts named.
02Flags
What deserves a deeper skill or a human decision.