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How to find which products earn their ad spend

SKU-level truth across Shopping, Meta catalogue ads and Pinterest: which products convert the spend they take, and which quietly burn it.

IntentRank products by advertising efficiency with names, not item IDs, so the merchandising decision is readable.

5
Steps
6
Tools
3
Rules
3
Failure modes

When to use it

Use it when

  • Monthly on any catalogue-driven account.
  • Before excluding or boosting product groups.
  • When blended ROAS is fine but someone suspects it hides losers.

Do not use it when

  • Catalogues under ~50 products: read the campaigns directly.
  • Windows shorter than the purchase cycle: slow considered purchases need longer reads.

What it needs first

Preconditions

  • Catalogue campaigns with product-level reporting live.
  • One currency, or explicit conversion notes.

Inputs

window
Analysis window.Default: last 30 days.
spend_floor
Spend below which a product is not judged.Default: 10x target CPA equivalent.

Procedure

In order. Every tool named is one the gateway ships, and links to its reference.

  1. Pull product-level Shopping performance with spend and conversions.

  2. On Meta, join product-level insights to the catalogue so rows carry names and brands.

  3. On Pinterest, run the conversion product report.

  4. Merge by item ID, then bucket: earners, burners above the spend floor, and unjudged.

  5. If GA4 ecommerce is healthy, sanity-check the top rows against site revenue.

Decision rules

The observable condition, what it lets you conclude, and what takes the conclusion back.

  • When

    A product spent above the floor with zero conversions on every platform

    Conclude

    Burner confirmed; propose exclusion with the exact spend as evidence.

    Unless

    It is a new launch inside its ramp window; date it instead.

  • When

    A product earns on one platform and burns on another

    Conclude

    Platform fit finding, not a product finding; propose moving budget, not delisting.

  • When

    The top 20% of products carry over 80% of catalogue spend

    Conclude

    Report concentration; the long tail's problems are secondary by construction.

Evidence every conclusion must carry

  • Every row carries product name, item ID, platform, spend, conversions, window.
  • Exclusion proposals quote total spend saved over the window.

Where the agent stops

  • Exclusions and product-group changes are merchandising decisions applied by humans in platform UIs.
  • The gateway writes none of this; the deliverable is the ranked list.

How it goes wrong quietly

The cases where the analysis is wrong and still looks right. Read them before trusting a number.

  • Item IDs differ across platforms for the same SKU; merge failures silently double-count. State the join rate.
  • Returns are invisible to ad platforms; high-return products look like earners. Flag categories with known return rates.
  • Price changes inside the window shift ROAS without any media cause; note repricing dates when known.

What the answer contains

01Earners
Top products by efficiency with volumes.
02Burners
Spend, zero-or-poor conversion products above the floor.
03Platform fit
Products whose efficiency differs sharply by platform.